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RCM TECHNOLOGIES, INC. (RCMT)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2026 primary-source materials (8‑K/press release and earnings call) were not available in our document set; therefore, this recap anchors on the most recent reported quarters (Q1–Q3 2025) and S&P Global consensus for Q2 2026, noting limited Street coverage (one estimate)* .
  • Recent trajectory: revenue grew 17% YoY in Q1 2025 to $84.5M , 13% YoY in Q2 2025 to $78.2M , and 16% YoY in Q3 2025 to $70.3M ; engineering logged “best-ever” quarterly gross profit in both Q2 and Q3 2025, with record 2026 backlog just over $70M as of late October .
  • Profitability mixed near term: adjusted EBITDA was $7.8M (Q1), $8.1M (Q2), and $5.5M (Q3) as seasonal healthcare softness and $0.8M excess medical claims in Q3 contributed to dip; management reiterated that Q4 2025 should be the strongest of the year .
  • Management reiterated FY2025 guideposts: at least low double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth and FY cash from operations approximating net income, with Q4 targeted as peak gross profit and adjusted EBITDA; engineering demand/backlog and K‑12 healthcare penetration remain core growth drivers .
  • Potential stock catalysts into Q2 2026: visibility from record 2026 engineering backlog, continued K‑12 share gains and foreign nurse pipeline progress, normalization of medical claims costs, and delivery of Q4 2025 “peak” profitability commentary .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Engineering momentum: “best engineering gross profit quarter in our entire history” in Q2 and again in Q3; record 2026 energy services backlog “just over $70M” as of late October .
    • K‑12 healthcare execution and share gains: school revenue up 21% YoY in Q2; management noted “another dozen or so new contracts” for 2025–2026 school year and confidence in continued share capture .
    • Strategic positioning: increased brand visibility, improved talent inflow, and integrated EPC model in energy services; management emphasized secular grid modernization and data center interconnect tailwinds .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Medical cost headwinds: $0.8M over budget in Q3 and $1.8M YTD pressured profitability; management does not expect radical change until 2026 .
    • Cash collections timing: Q2 operating cash flow negative ($7.9M) due to delayed payments from two large school clients (since ~80%+ collected shortly after); Q3 operating cash flow also negative ($1.3M) .
    • Margin variability: engineering gross margin volatile quarter-to-quarter due to mix and subcontractor pass‑through on EPC work; life sciences/data saw slight year‑over‑year GP pressure in Q3 .

Financial Results

Recent actuals vs S&P Global consensus for Q2 2026 (limited coverage; one estimate)*

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q2 2026E (S&P Global)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$84.473 $78.166 $70.289 $88.676*
EPS ($)$0.54 (GAAP diluted) $0.50 (GAAP diluted) $0.30 (GAAP diluted) $0.68 (Primary EPS)*
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.63 $0.69 $0.42
Gross Margin (%)26.0% (consolidated) 28.5% (consolidated) 27.6% (consolidated)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$7.780 $8.135 $5.510 $8.393*

Note: Asterisked estimates are from S&P Global; values may reflect limited analyst coverage and are subject to revision. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment breakdown (Revenue and Gross Margin)

SegmentQ1 2025 Revenue ($M)Q1 2025 GM%Q2 2025 Revenue ($M)Q2 2025 GM%Q3 2025 Revenue ($M)Q3 2025 GM%
Specialty Health Care$43.283 28.2% $42.822 28.7% $30.000 30.0%
Engineering$32.142 19.2% $26.521 24.5% $31.419 22.0%
Life Sciences, Data & Solutions$9.048 39.7% $8.823 39.8% $8.870 39.5%
Consolidated$84.473 26.0% $78.166 28.5% $70.289 27.6%

KPIs and operating items

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Engineering backlog (next FY)“Just over $70M” for 2026 as of late Oct
Medical claims over budget$0.8M in Q3; $1.8M YTD
Healthcare School Revenue ($M)$37.3 $37.2 $24.4
Healthcare Non‑School Revenue ($M)$6.0 $5.6 $5.6
Healthcare billable hours (first 4 weeks Oct)+18% YoY
Days Sales Outstanding (DSO)~74 days
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$16.660 ($7.878) ($1.262)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA growthFY 2025“At least low double-digit” adj. EBITDA growth (Q1) Reiterated in Q2 and Q3 Maintained
Q4 profitability profileQ4 2025Expect highest quarterly gross profit and adjusted EBITDA of FY 2025 Introduced
Operating cash flow vs NIFY 2025Expect cash from operations ≈ net income (Q2); reiterated in Q3 Introduced then maintained
Engineering backlog visibilityFY 20262025 backlog at this point last year was $21M Record 2026 backlog just over $70M as of end-October Raised/Improved

No formal quantitative revenue/EPS margin ranges were issued in the reviewed materials; guidance was directional and qualitative .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2025 (prior‑2)Q2 2025 (prior‑1)Q3 2025 (current last reported)Trend
AI/technology initiativesLS/IT: accelerating AI/ML deployments; strong 40% GP; building offshore; 6 new clients AI-driven equipment qualification; data integrity; analytics in LS; HCM expansion Continued AI analytics, managed services expansion; digitalization in engineering/EPC Building
Supply chain / lead timesEarly EPC pass-through mix and subcontractor impacts on margins Margin volatility from subs mix; EPC ramp OEM partnerships to mitigate equipment lead times; hybrid resourcing Improving processes
Tariffs/macroNeutral; focus on secular themes; macro not a key worry LS commentary on tariffs/favored nation pricing driving shifts; resilience noted Watch LS dynamics
Product/segment performanceHealthcare K‑12 momentum; Aerospace surge Healthcare school +21% YoY; engineering best GP quarter Engineering “best ever” GP; healthcare seasonal softness but strong Sept/Oct ramp Positive
Regulatory/visaIntl nurse pipeline 15–20 near-term; 500 candidates; visa retrogression gating If visa dates move, 50–60 near-term; 300+ ready; broader pipeline larger Optionality
Medical claims$0.8M Q3, $1.8M YTD over budget; actions likely to impact 2026 Headwind (near-term)
Capital allocationRepurchases continued; net debt cut $12M in Q1 Dividend discussed; clean balance sheet as “strategic asset”; mindful of float Flexible

Management Commentary

  • “Our best engineering gross profit quarter in our entire history” (Q2), with record 2026 energy services backlog “just over $70 million” by late October (Q3) .
  • “We’ve added another dozen or so new [K‑12] contracts… half… with meaningful impact to revenue for the 2025–2026 school year” .
  • “We expect Q4 [2025] will yield our highest quarterly gross profit and adjusted EBITDA” .
  • On dividend and capital allocation: “With a completely debt free balance sheet… it probably makes as much sense as ever… it’s something we’ll continue to evaluate,” while preserving flexibility for large opportunities .

Q&A Highlights

  • Engineering margins and mix: Management reiterated normalized engineering GM range 22–26% and explained variability from subcontractor pass‑through and mix; focus remains on gross profit dollars .
  • K‑12 healthcare growth and training: Company runs internal training programs to scale qualified staff; pipeline robust; intent to take share from competitors while market itself grows .
  • Foreign nurse pipeline: Visa retrogression is gating; 50–60 could arrive if dates move modestly, 300+ fully ready, 500+ broader pipeline; uplift could turn a “good 2026” into “incredible” .
  • Cash collections & seasonality: Q2 CFO hit by PO timing from school districts (since largely collected); Q3 seasonally soft due to summer; expect FY CFO ≈ NI .
  • Capital returns: Discussion around potential dividend introduction versus maintaining low share count and strategic balance sheet flexibility; buyback track record noted .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2026 S&P Global consensus (limited coverage: one estimate): revenue $88.68M*, EPS $0.68*, EBITDA $8.39M*. Values may change as coverage updates. Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • FY 2026 S&P Global consensus: revenue $339.36M*, EBITDA $32.05M*, EPS $2.565*, target price $31 (2 estimates)*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Engineering is the primary multi‑year engine: record 2026 backlog and tier‑one utility/data‑center interconnect positioning support continued revenue/GP growth .
  • K‑12 healthcare remains durable with rising penetration; watch FY Q4 ramp into the 2025–2026 school year and training-led capacity additions .
  • Near‑term profitability swing factors: medical claims ($0.8M Q3; $1.8M YTD) and EPC/subcontractor mix; Q4 2025 guided as peak profitability .
  • Cash flow timing improves as school PO issues clear; mgmt expects FY 2025 CFFO ≈ net income .
  • Optionality from international nurse pipeline could amplify 2026 healthcare growth if visa retrogression eases .
  • Capital allocation remains shareholder‑friendly and flexible (historical repurchases; evaluating dividend), with emphasis on a “clean balance sheet” as a strategic asset for larger opportunities .
  • For Q2 2026, given limited Street coverage*, watch for delivery vs consensus (rev ~$88.7M*, EPS ~$0.68*) and qualitative updates on backlog conversion, K‑12 contract wins, and medical cost normalization. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Sources and notes:

  • Q1 2025: 8‑K and call .
  • Q2 2025: 8‑K/press release and call .
  • Q3 2025: press and 8‑K and call .
  • Index inclusion (context): Russell 2000/3000 addition (July 2025) .
  • Q2 2026 primary-source docs were not available in the document set searched (no 2026 8‑K/press release/transcript returned). We will update this recap when those are released .
  • S&P Global consensus estimates marked with an asterisk (*) and accompanied by this disclaimer: Values retrieved from S&P Global.